2nd Amendment

So, we won. Or did we?

As David Cohen points out, Chicago theoretically won on both arguments.  The margins can be interpreted more than one way.  In essence, this case was an 8-1 loss for Gura’s Privileges or Immunities argument.  Given that Justice Thomas’ vote was for PorI, we can also see this as a 4-5 loss for Due Process incorporation.

I’m going to throw temperance to the wind for a moment and suggest that Clarence Thomas is the only Justice currently sitting with a spine.

We did achieve a very important philosophical victory, but the practical ramifications remain to be seen.

Oral arguments are tomorrow morning at 10:00 EST.  Check for transcripts after lunch.

Though they did so in Heller, the Court has chosen not to allow a recording of the proceedings.  I’d have hoped that, with Souter gone, the Court would consider broadcasting, but that appears not to be the case.

Though the Justices’ minds are likely made up at this point, the tenor and nature of their questions may give us an idea where they lean.  It should be fun to see Chicago counsel dissemble while trying to pretend Heller didn’t mean what it said.

They’re obviously nervous.  Mayor Daley has stooped to trotting out Blair Holt’s parents to cry on cue for the cameras, and we have this missive from Dennis A. Henigan, in which he cites the same tired, discredited statistics he’s been using for years.  It’s a sad last wave before drowning, but the text and history of the 14th Amendment are squarely on our side.

Final amicus curiae briefs in support of the respondents in McDonald v. Chicago were due today.  Among the parties filing are the Educational Fund to Stop Gun Violence, a Joyce Foundation beneficiary, and a coalition of “public health” organizations, including the American Academy of Pediatrics.  Both briefs take the argument that the 2nd Amendment should not be incorporated, as it would endanger gun control as a public health policy.

Equally ludicrous, but less insolent than the Chicago brief, is the one filed [pdf] by the United States Conference of Mayors.  These folks were an endorser of the controversial and impotent group Mayors Against Illegal Guns, and they claim that “the Second Amendment protects a largely obsolete Eighteenth-Century right.”  They point to New York City’s “stop-and-frisk” program of detaining people suspected of carrying concealed weapons as one practice that may be endangered by incorporation.

Accordingly, if applicable to state and local governments and confined to framing-era understandings, the eighteenth-century conception of the right to bear arms would imperil the use of stop-and-frisk tactics against drug dealers and gang members, at least as long as they carry firearms openly and have not been previously convicted of a felony or otherwise fall within the scope of the regulatory authority acknowledged in Heller.